England v Italy (7.45pm KO, Live on BBC1)
England are 2.88 shots with Paddy Power to win in 90 minutes and book their place in the semi-final.
As far as the stats are concerned the Three Lions have managed just one win from their last nine games against Italy (D2, L6).Their last clash saw them lose a friendly in Leeds 2-1 in March 2002.
They have met at European Championship finals just once before, with Italy winning a group game in 1980 1-0.
Italy also have the better form when it comes to quarter-final encounters in major championships.
They have only been knocked out two of the nine occasions that they have reached this stage – both times on penalty kicks.
That’s much better than England who have lost 7 out of 10 when playing in the last 8.
However on current form there is little to choose between the two sides in what is likely to be a low-scoring affair.
Both base their play around having a strong defence, and in it would be no surprise to see what promises to be a real tactical battle go into extra time.
However England would certainly not want it to go to penalties as they have won just 1 of their 6 previous shoot-outs at major tournaments, when beating Spain in the quarter-finals of Euro 1996 after a 0-0 draw.
What is important is that they get more shots on target in a bid to get that vital opener which could well seal victory.
Roy Hodgson’s men did not register a single shot on target in the opening 45 minutes against Ukraine, and that is simply not good enough.
Wayne Rooney, who marked his return to action with a goal in that game,has now scored 29 international goals and needs one more to go joint-fifth on England’s list of top scorers.
In the hope that England can get the job done in normal time, I am going to suggest backing them to do so 1-0 in the correct score market at 7 with Paddy Power.
The Republik of Mancunia has brought out a brilliant downloadable World Cup preview. It contains 20 articles written by football experts on the countries our players will be representing in Brazil. There is also exclusive content from this country's top football journalists, such as Sid Lowe, Martin Lipton, Sam Wallace and Dominic Fifield. All profit is going to charity. More info on the RoM World Cup preview can be found here.
Minimum price is £4. Enter your e-mail address to receive the download and the price you would like to pay.