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Where To Put Your Money For Spain vs Portugal

Spain v Portugal (7.45pm KO, Live on BBC1)

The first semi-final of the Euro 2012 pitches the defending champions Spain and their Iberian neighbours Portugal in what promises to be a classic encounter.

Bookmakers heavily favour Spain to come out on top, going 1.95 about them winning in 90 minutes.

Portugal are 4.5 chances with Boylesports and the draw is a 3.4 shot with bet365 and Betfred.

Those odds about a Portugal win do seem on the large side for a team who have done nothing but impress throughout the tournament since losing their opening game 1-0 to Germany.

Their passing, link-up play and teamwork in subsequent victories over Denmark Holland and the Czech Republic has been absolutely top notch, as has the finishing of Cristiano Ronaldo.

Ronaldo has been the star of Euro 2012, adopting a shoot on sight policy which has reaped big rewards.

The Real Madrid striker has scored three so far, and a remarkable total of 66 this season for club and country.

He has also has fired in a total of 29 shots, the most at a European Championship finals since 1980, and is there is little doubt that in his current form he is capable netting in this.

Paddy Power go 6.5 about him scoring the opener, and that looks decent value as does the 3 on offer with the same firm and Betfred about him netting any time in the 90 minutes.

Nani is also a big threat when Portugal go forward, and at 15 with bet365 and Paddy Power is definitely worth a small saver in the first goalscorer market.

The key for Portugal in this match is to stay strong in defence and work hard to contain a hugely talented Spanish outfit whose midfield trio of Busquets, Xavi and Iniesta have controlling matches.

They totally dismantled France in the quarters, and have no injuries or suspensions to worry about coming it this.

The Spaniards will also set a new record of 11 European Championship finals matches unbeaten if they avoid defeat and have kept eight consecutive clean sheets in knock-out games at major tournaments.

However unlike France, who were content to sit back and let them dominate without ever really threatening on the break, I think Portugal are a side high on confidence who will be prepared to have a go.

Their pace up front is frightening, and if they do get their heads in front I feel that they are strong enough and classy enough to hold on.

I fancy them to win 2-0 or 2-1, and those scoreline can be backed at 26 and 19 respectively with Betfred.


 

382 Comments

  1. CedarsDevil says:

    Do it for the God Father for fucks sake!! ha ha ha

    Costas

    You and I have been around this place long enough and we have seen our share of trolls mate…….Just goes to show that there are some truly sick fucking freaks out there

  2. Harish says:

    Jeet

    Age is catching up with Xavi. But He is a great player and a great person. Both Iniesta and xavi are pure gentlemen. Perfect Fit to be a united player. People praise messi but undermine the contribution of these two midfeilders.

  3. lordrt says:

    lets support the germans then at least they play attractive football, unlike some shits who just park the midfielders in and win on penalties afterwards (+ got schweinsteiger = man utd fan in german squad)

    moutinho was really impressive for portugal in every game i watched, why not sign him if utd are looking for a midfielder, and i believe he can come in for aroud 25m unlike the price of modric which is now reaching about 40m

  4. CedarsDevil says:

    The Italians are often accused of being corrupt, that offends me in a way because they are very much like the Lebanese! ha ha ha We have similar backgrounds and cultures, pretty much like the Greeks as well….

    The Mediterranean rock my world

  5. Harish says:

    25 million for moutinho? Yeah I also like him and won’t mind if we sign him but not for 25 million. I doubt SAF will bid that much for moutinho. I may be wrong .

  6. daemondada says:

    Morning RoM,Portugal OVERACHIEVED if u asked me.They gave as good as they got against the Madrid/Barca collabo that is Spain who can be quite a pain.I cant sincerely tell the clubsides of 80 percent of the portuguese nt.As for Ronaldo’s insistence on taking the last kick: THAT is what all the greats do.Ask drogba.As far as I’m concerned no kick is more pressurised than the next.Spain progress and fairplay to them.Playing without a recognised striker while having a surplus of strikers on the bench must have had Bento wondering how some could have excess while others feed on scraps.Portugal were badly in need of a reliable centre forward.CR7 was constrained to play as both a winger and de facto striker.What Bento would have done to have had a Llorente on his teamsheet?!Frm my perspective,any team frm the three remaining would b a worthy champion.To those who consider Spain being boring,I daresay the same has bn said about Utd with the diff being we are considered as being able to play only down the wings and not being able to penetrate thru the middle.Still,we know better.So,to each his own opinion.Take care MG.U are healed in Jesus Christ I pray.Amen.

  7. CedarsDevil says:

    Come to think of it imagine if we had a Mediterranean national side? Fuck me side ways, the likes of Costas, myself and some freaky Sicilians would all be on the same side!!

  8. Harish says:

    Ash

    Very well said @ 7:21. I heard that we bid 30 million for james rodriguez and porto rejected that and are asking for 40 million which is his buy out clause. 40 million! Seriously one good season and you are worth 40 millions.

  9. CedarsDevil says:

    Who on God’s earth is James Rodriguez? I have and in all honesty never heard of him

  10. lordrt says:

    the rodriguez lad is good, but the clause in his contract is overpricing him really, with that money we could go for 2 players. also saf could have a look at sahin, the lad has a big potential but is wasting it at madrid so far.

  11. Ash says:

    http://www.goal.com/en/news/1862/premier-league/2012/06/28/3205759/manchester-united-end-interest-in-modric-as-tottenham-star-edges-?

    One more saga ends. Who don’t we try and get Sahin. He could come cheap and do a great job for us.

  12. Ash says:

    Sorry its why

  13. parryheid says:

    Ach disappointed with that was sure Portugal would beat them.

  14. CedarsDevil says:

    Come on, enough with all this transfer talk, where is the support for Italy? The Azzuries, the Pasta kings…..

  15. Costas says:

    @Cedars at 08:08

    Ha, scary thought indeed. No one could stop us. :D

  16. lordrt says:

    @Cedars:
    I love pasta, but not the catenaccio ;)
    I think the Italians will be somewhat tired for this game after their extra-time + shootout with England, so favs for me to go on are the Hitler-boys (unless Pirlo slots in another panenka during the game to open the score and then switch to catenaccio-mode) :D

  17. CedarsDevil says:

    The world of football is full of unfair travesties is it not? World cups 74 & 78, best and most entertaining team losing both finals…….World cup 82, the best team that ever played the game gets knocked out…..Thank fuck for Brazil 70, they maintain the smallest of threads of belief that international football has a meaning to me

  18. CedarsDevil says:

    Costas

    Could you imagine it? A national side made up of Lebanese, Greek and Italian players?? ha ha ha

    Just think of the lunch time arguments!!

  19. CedarsDevil says:

    lordrt

    I am supporting Italy for more reasons than meets the eye mate………Nice one with the catenaccio comment!!

  20. CedarsDevil says:

    One of the best football players to have played the game is Socrates (RIP) I genuinely love the man

  21. Costas says:

    @Cedars

    Heh, our team would never be fit with all the food possibilities. :lol:

  22. CedarsDevil says:

    Costas

    I tried to make a list of the dishes involving all three countries but I could not!! With out doubt the best cuisine in the world…………I could add Chinese and Indian into that then we are fucked!!

  23. slim says:

    have to laugh at the hating on Spain. anti football I hear. Really? England and Greece must have been irresistible.

    have to laugh at Ronaldo too. an absolute mug. who wanted alp the glory, the winning penalty, do he hangs back waiting to the the savior when as captain he should have been in the top 3 takers. The guy plays for himself and expects everyone else to do the same.

    kiss that world footballer of the year good bye Ronnie

  24. Costas says:

    @Slim

    It’s not anti football in any way. But it is boring. For all the talent this team has, their style of play infuriating. I appreciate teams like Germany and Portugal a lot more. At least their plan is to attack directly and not pass the ball to death.

  25. Costas says:

    *is infuriating*

    As for Ronaldo, I think this clears things up a bit:

    ‘I was going to take the fifth penalty but we missed two,’ Ronaldo said. ‘It was just a question of me speaking with the coach. He said to me: “Do you want to take the fifth one?” and I said “yes”.

    ‘Sometimes I take the first, the second or the third. I agreed to take the fifth.’

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/euro2012/article-2165826/Euro-2012-Cristiano-Ronaldo-going-home-proud-despite-taking-penalty.html

  26. CedarsDevil says:

    slim

    Have to laugh at your comment because I am assuming that you are taking the piss……Unless you have only been watching football for 5 years which of course is incorrect no??

    Spain are boring as fuck mate, want exciting football? Try watching United or any other team I have mentioned already on this thread

  27. slim says:

    costas

    when you’re defending a title and your opponents are gunning for glory. this sort of thing happens. the defending year never really as good as when you won it – Exception being United ofcourse. I think we had a freak couple of seasons like that. if I’m correct o think Ronnie was still with us but I digress.

    Believe me im sick of way the media and the rest brown nose but honestly when I hear people complain about their passing or how boring they are reminds me of people who ascribed to the notion that United. titles have been Lucky or worse that we’re a kick and hoof team.

    This “boring” phase will pass. they’ll either become a better squad or will decline.it’s a journey. for me thats just what the game is about.

  28. Costas says:

    @slim

    Don’t know if it has a lot to do with them being defending champions. Sure you’re never as hungry the 2nd or 3rd time around, but it’s still a side with a lot of top class midfielders in their prime. I just think it’s how they like to play. I mentioned it earlier, but their style wasn’t any better in 2010 when all their knockout ties were won 1-0. Wasn’t this reason enough for most people to call Arsenal boring back in the day. ;) For all their possession, in my opinion Spain don’t attack a lot. Under Del Bosque anyway. With Aragones in charge, they seemed more ambitious in 2008. I won’t blame any team for how the way they set up. You play to your strengths. I said it about Greece and England too. I just don’t find Spain’s way entertaining as a neutral. Others do. And that’s fine of course.

  29. slim says:

    no doubt. they’re much difficult to watch but there’s still a lot of quality that entertains.
    Iniesta for one had been a star. and the ready have been quality too.
    fact is they’re playing without strikers an while that can rub off the wrong way it also says a lot about how strong the midfielders are. Gonna be all done soon anyway and the summer can really begin with transfer fever taking center stage.

  30. chiko_mufc_mondlane says:

    Good morning cedars
    I’m really disappointed about yesterdays result
    But at the same time proud of the boys, they did every just right to win the match but the luck wasn’t on there side last night.

    The tik-tak brigade were played out off there half
    They had almost no clue of how to break down the portugal defense. How cruel was that
    Alves took well his pen and it came off the crossbar n the post, but fabregas scuffed his yet it still went in.

    Ronaldo was a bit irresponsible on that note, he should of went ahead of alves, cause it was all clear to see that the letter was a bit shaky hence nani stopped him from executing the 3rd

    I’m fucking disappointed. Today I’m gonna cheer for the better team on the night hopefully that will do good in seeing those spaniard getting ripped off in the final. Cheers!!!! :(

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