It’s the biggest Manchester derby for many a year, so will United make home advantage count in their favour and draw first blood against Guardiola’s new look city side?

Both teams have perfect records so far this season, with three wins in three. But the clear subtext to this encounter is the renewal of hostilities between Mourinho and Guardiola.

They’ve met 16 times in total, with six encounters in the Champions League, four in La Liga, three in the Copa Del Rey, twice in the Spanish Super Cup and once in the UEFA Super Cup.

United now have an enviable home record, with five wins in the last six and only nine goals conceded in the last 20 games at Old Trafford.

City’s last loss came against Southampton as Manuel Pellegrini’s tenure as manager came to it’s stuttering climax.
Both side are much changes now, both in terms of playing philosophy and personnel. but history weighs heavy on derby fixtures and City have largely had the better of recent games. Three wins in six but a better showing for United last season as Louis Van Gaal’s pragmatic football came to the fore.


The KickOff algorithm is predicting a United win (49% likelihood) and Under 2.5 goals to be scored (53% chance). United are also picked as the team to score first (52%), with the most likely scoreline a 1-0 win for United or 1-1 draw, and a 50:50 chance both sides will score – and the first goalscorer likely to be a forward (33% United and 26% City).


Premier League predictions and form statistics from KickOff.