Norwich find themselves slap bang in the middle of a very tough relegation battle, while United have Champions League football in their sights. This is a massive ‘must-win’ game for both sides – so what do the stats tell us is likely to happen?
Norwich’s patchy home form is one of the reasons they are struggling to stay afloat in the Premier League. But while they are struggling at home, United are struggling on the road – with only two wins in the last six.
United have a slight edge at Carrow Road, with four wins in their last six visits. It’s overall form across the last 10 games that is most telling though. United have won six in that period, while The Canaries have only grabbed two wins and lost six. They’ve also conceded more and scored less over recent games.
By all measures – both attacking and defensive – United are in far better form going into this game.
The KickOff algorithm is predicting a United win (42% likelihood) and Under 2.5 goals to be scored (56% chance). United are also picked as the team to score first (50%), with the most likely scoreline a 1-1 draw or 1-0 win for United, and only a 49% chance that both sides will score.
Graphics and analysis courtesy of KickOff.co.uk.